London Docklands Light Railway (DLR) Lewisham Extension – Passenger Forecasts

The DLR opened in 1987 and was one of the first light rail systems in the UK with advanced automatic control systems (i.e. no driver).  The Lewisham Extension was first proposed in the mid-1990s under a Private Finance Initiative (PFI) scheme.

In 1996 CGL won a 24 and a half year concession to finance, design, build, and maintain this 4.2 km extension.  In 1999 the Lewisham Extension opened linking Island Gardens on the north of the River Thames to Lewisham in the south. The Concession Agreement between CGL and the public sector promoter of the concession (currently DLR Ltd on behalf of Transport for London or TfL) contained ‘Availability Fee’ and ‘Usage Fee’ mechanisms to provide revenue:

  • CGL Rail received Availability Payments related to operations, safety, station maintenance etc. for the first 10 years of the concession, but now only receives Usage Fee payments.
  • The Usage Fee is calculated on the basis of the observed passengers on the system and a fee per passenger.

In spring 2019 Vivid Economics were appointed by CGL to prepare independent passenger forecasts for the Lewisham Extension to the end of the concession period (2021).

Date: September 2019

Client

City Greenwich Lewisham Rail Link Plc (CGL)

Sectors:

Transport & Logistics

Capabilities:

Transaction Advisory

Regions:

UK